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_806.jpg "Pic: Clay Gilliland - https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Ministry_of_Foreign_Affairs_(11394499883).jpg - CC by SA 2.0 - https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/")
Policy Brief
The last of the offended: Russia’s first post-Putin diplomats
by Kadri Liik - 19th November, 2019
Russia’s new generation of foreign policy professionals bring with them a shift in attitudes that challenges centrality of “the West” in Russian foreign policy.
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The Lost Promise of 1989 (Commentary)
Mark Leonard - 19 November 2019
As is often the case, deep historical shifts tend to show up first in popular culture, and only then in formal politics. That is why we should look at the complex legacy of 1989 not only in the formal celebrations being held in Berlin, but also in the stands of a soccer stadium in Sofia.
Belarus votes: Could its verdict matter? (Commentary)
Olga Dryndova - 15 November 2019
Belarus could be standing on the brink of change. The EU should not ignore events on its outer border – and, indeed, should look for new ways to engage its neighbour.
Hopes for the future dashed: Balkans security after the French veto (Commentary)
Beáta Huszka - 14 November 2019
The European Council’s failure to open accession negotiations with North Macedonia and Albania could mark a turning point for peace in the Western Balkans.
Managed chaos: Russia’s deal with Turkey on northern Syria (Commentary)
Gustav Gressel - 03 November 2019
Russia is now in charge of a multi-front war. It will need to manage relations between multiple local actors very carefully.
Leverage, for now: Turkey’s deal with Russia on northern Syria (Commentary)
Asli Aydıntaşbaş - 30 October 2019
Erdogan's government views the deal as a testament to its ability to act independently of Washington even in areas where there is a US military presence.
After the French veto: The new scramble for the Western Balkans (Commentary)
Vessela Tcherneva & Tara Varma - 25 October 2019
Without a credible path to EU membership, the Western Balkans could easily succumb to the lure of regional nationalism – and to generous Russian, Turkish, and Chinese offers in the EU’s own back yard.
Flatter and faster: New Western Balkans pathways to the EU (Commentary)
Milica Delevic, Tena Prelec - 24 October 2019
The French veto on North Macedonia EU membership shows that Brussels urgently needs a new approach to EU enlargement
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.jpg "Pic: Shutterstock.com / By Sergei Chuzavkov - https://www.shutterstock.com/image-photo/kyiv-ukraine-april-5-2019-ukrainian-1373714396?src=yjD14WHqySlOn7_CC897XA-1-9 - ©")
Policy Brief
Zelensky unchained: What Ukraine’s new political order means for its future
by Joanna Hosa & Andrew Wilson - 25th September, 2019
Policy Brief
Guarding the guardians: Ukraine’s security and judicial reforms under Zelensky
by Gustav Gressel - 29th August, 2019
The EU, US, and NATO must ensure that these services remain high in the minds of the Zelensky administration and of Rada members
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Policy Brief
Paradox of power: Russia, Armenia, and Europe after the Velvet Revolution
by Richard Giragosian - 07th August, 2019
Policy Brief
Defender of the faith? How Ukraine’s Orthodox split threatens Russia
by Kadri Liik, Momchil Metodiev, and Nicu Popescu - 30th May, 2019
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The Lost Promise of 1989 (Commentary)
Mark Leonard - 19 November 2019
As is often the case, deep historical shifts tend to show up first in popular culture, and only then in formal politics. That is why we should look at the complex legacy of 1989 not only in the formal celebrations being held in Berlin, but also in the stands of a soccer stadium in Sofia.
Belarus votes: Could its verdict matter? (Commentary)
Olga Dryndova - 15 November 2019
Belarus could be standing on the brink of change. The EU should not ignore events on its outer border – and, indeed, should look for new ways to engage its neighbour.
Hopes for the future dashed: Balkans security after the French veto (Commentary)
Beáta Huszka - 14 November 2019
The European Council’s failure to open accession negotiations with North Macedonia and Albania could mark a turning point for peace in the Western Balkans.
Managed chaos: Russia’s deal with Turkey on northern Syria (Commentary)
Gustav Gressel - 03 November 2019
Russia is now in charge of a multi-front war. It will need to manage relations between multiple local actors very carefully.
Leverage, for now: Turkey’s deal with Russia on northern Syria (Commentary)
Asli Aydıntaşbaş - 30 October 2019
Erdogan's government views the deal as a testament to its ability to act independently of Washington even in areas where there is a US military presence.
After the French veto: The new scramble for the Western Balkans (Commentary)
Vessela Tcherneva & Tara Varma - 25 October 2019
Without a credible path to EU membership, the Western Balkans could easily succumb to the lure of regional nationalism – and to generous Russian, Turkish, and Chinese offers in the EU’s own back yard.
Flatter and faster: New Western Balkans pathways to the EU (Commentary)
Milica Delevic, Tena Prelec - 24 October 2019
The French veto on North Macedonia EU membership shows that Brussels urgently needs a new approach to EU enlargement
The authoritarian entente: Sino-Russian security cooperation (Commentary)
Gustav Gressel - 17 October 2019
Sino-Russian arrangements for deepening cooperation on surveillance technology codify a process that has been going on for years.
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Upcoming events
There are no upcoming events
Past events
The next generation of Russian foreign policymakers
Paris - 17 Oct 19
Nous avons le plaisir de vous inviter à un Black Coffee Morning en présence de Kadri Liik, Sergey Utkin et Joanna Hosa.
Roundtable on Energy Security
Berlin - 09 Oct 19
Rountable discussion on european energy strategy and the role this plays in transatlantic relations. This event is in cooperation with the Atlantic Council and the Aspen Institute Germany.
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Ukraine’s great gamble: Hopes and pitfalls of Zelensky’s presidency
Warsaw - 01 Oct 19
Invitation for the public debate on Ukrainian internal reforms and Kiev's relations with Europe
Estonia in the EU - Punching above its weight?
Berlin - 17 Sep 19
Roundtable discussion with our partners from the Estonian Foreign Policy Centre, the International Centre for Defence and Security and the Estonian Embassy in Berlin.
After divorce: How to reframe Europe’s relations with Russia?
Warsaw - 01 Jul 19
What could be possible model of European-Russian relations?
How to deal with our Western Balkan neighbours?
North Macedonia and Albania wanted to start negotiations with the EU after having been candidate countries since 2005 and 2014. But the enlargement plans seemed to have stalled especially after opposition from France.
Host Mark Leonard is joined by Susi Dennison, José Ignacio Torreblanca and Vessela Tcherneva to get to the bottom of things and the divisions particularly between France and Germany on this issue.The podcast as recorded on 17 October 2019.
Bookshelf:
- The Age of Surveillance Capitalism" by Shoshana Zuboff
- "Spring" by Ali Smith
- "The light that failed" by Ivan Krastev & Stephen Holmes
- "State of the Union" Miniseries on BBC Two
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Reaching out to Russia – joining hands or getting the mitten?
In this week’s podcast, Mark Leonard, Gustav Gressel and Kadri Liik analyse Macron’s plans and ideas for recreating the European security order, an initiative which he launched with a speech at the Ambassador’s conference this year. Moreover, according to French officials, France will instead of starting with a top-down plan, try to build European security from the bottom-up and see if there is a desire in Moscow to make progress on specific issues, one brick at a time. They have laid out a roadmap with five different areas: Disarmament, security dialogue, crisis management, values, and common projects.
Further read: “Emmanuel Macron’s very big idea on Russia” by Gustav Gressel, Kadri Liik, Jeremy Shapiro & Tara VarmaThe podcast was recorded on 30 September 2019.
Bookshelf:
Europe's Eastern Neighbourhood: Ukraine and Moldova
Standing in for regular host Mark Leonard, Anthony Dworkin, senior policy fellow at ECFR, looks at Europe's Eastern neighbourhood and interaction with Russia. He is joined by Kurt Volker, executive director of the McCain Institute and US special representative for the Ukraine negotiations, and Nicu Popescu, Minister of Foreign Affairs for Moldova and former head of the Wider Europe program at ECFR. They look at the conflicts in Ukraine and Moldova, what the Ukrainians might learn from the Moldovans, and what role there is for Europe in the region.
The podcast was recorded on Tuesday, 25 June, 2019, at the side-lines of ECFR’s Annual Council Meeting in Lisbon.
Bookshelf
• The Perfect Kill: 21 Laws for Assassins by Robert Baer
• A Little War That Shook the World by Ronald Asmus
• 1984 by George OrwellPicture
US Special Representative for Ukraine Kurt Volker at President Zelensky's inauguration, on May 20th 2019. Photo by the Presidential Administration of Ukraine. Retrieved from www.president.gov.ua/photos/urochis…dentom-uk-2905. [CCA 4.0 international]
Ukraine Under President Zelensky
Podcast de notre débat du 21 mai « Ukraine Under President Zelensky » en présence de Victor Andruziv, directeur de l’Ukrainian Institute for the Future (UIF), Jana Kobzova, directrice politique à Rasmussen Global et modéré par Nicu Popescu, directeur du programme Europe Elargie de l’ECFR.
Crimea at five
Jeremy Shapiro is standing in for the regular host Mark Leonard and discusses the current situation in Crimea and relations between Russia and Ukraine with ECFR experts Kadri Liik and Nicu Popsecu. The podcast was recorded on 13 March 2019.
EU Radio is now also broadcasting this podcast on Tuesdays at 7pm and Wednesdays at 9am CET every week. You can listen to the station at euradio.fr.
Bookshelf:
We need to talk about Putin by Mark GaleottiHistory of the Russian Revolution by Leon Trotsky
The Bully Pulpit: Theodore Roosevelt, William Howard Taft, and the Golden Age of Journalism by Doris Kearns Goodwin
The US role in Syria
Anthony Dworkin steps in for Mark Leonard and discusses the US strategy in Syria with Asli Aydintasbas, Julien Barnes-Dacey and Jasmin El-Gamal. The podcast was recorded on 10 January 2019.
The Sea of Azov: The newest front in the war in Ukraine?
Mark Leonard speaks with Andrew Wilson, Kadri Liik and Nicu Popescu about the Kerch Strait ship capture, what this means and how the international community could react to the latest tensions. The podcast was recorded on 26 November 2018.
Bookshelf:
The Cuckoo's Egg: Tracking a Spy Through the Maze of Computer Espionage by Cliff Stoll
Why doctors hate their computers by Atul Gawande
Cyberwar: How Russian Hackers and Trolls Helped Elect a President - What We Don't, Can't, and Do Know by Kathleen Hall Jamieson
Network Propaganda - Manipulation, Disinformation, and Radicalization in American Politics by Yochai Benkler, Robert Faris, and Hal Roberts
Distant love by Ulrich Beck and Elisabeth Beck-Gernsheim
Russian foreign policy in the cyber age
Podcast de notre BCM du 7 novembre en partenariat avec l’Institut d’études de sécurité de l’Union européenne (EUISS): « Russian foreign policy in the cyber age » en présence d’Alina Polyakova, policy fellow à la Brookings Institution, Stanislav Secrieru, analyste senior à l’EUISS, et Nicu Popescu, directeur du programme Europe Elargie de l'ECFR.
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War on the Rocks
18th November, 2019
Jeremy Shapiro and Aaron Stein's piece on Syria, Trump and Erdogan.
The New York Times
17th November, 2019
Anthony Dworkin comments on the repatriation of ISIS foreign fighters.
AL-Monitor
13th November, 2019
Asli Aydintasbas is quoted on Trumpa nd Erdogans meeting in Washington.
Voice of America
11th November, 2019
Asli Aydintasbas comments on Trumps and Erdogans meeting in Washington.
Euronews
11th November, 2019
Tara Varma and Gustav Gressel quoted on the Russian influence on Brexit and the EU.
The National
04th November, 2019
Anthony Dworkin's report on the need for repatriation of ISIS fighters is cited.
Project Syndicate
31st October, 2019
Mark Leonard describes in his column the end of the age of Central and Eastern Europeans mimicking the West.
Die Presse
28th October, 2019
Piotr Buras writes a guest commentary for Die Presse on Poland's future within the EU.
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