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Policy Brief
A return to Africa: Why North African states are looking south
Anthony Dworkin - 3 July, 2020
North African countries, each for their own reasons, are increasingly turning their attention towards sub-Saharan Africa.
Economic meltdown in the Middle East: How Europe can soften the impact
Julien Barnes-Dacey - 2 July, 2020
Syria, Lebanon, and Iraq are all teetering on the brink of economic collapse. Europe cannot afford to be a helpless bystander.
View from the Council
Why the war in Libya is a test for Italy – and for a geopolitical European Commission
Marta Dassù - 30 June, 2020
If Italy was the front facing east during the cold war, then today it is vulnerable to the south: the country has been drawn into a geopolitical competition that looms over the Strait of Sicily.
Politicised aid: Why Europe should sustain cross-border humanitarian assistance to northern Syria
Kelly Petillo, René Wildangel - 29 June, 2020
European countries should work to renew the UN Security Council resolution on cross-border humanitarian access to northern Syria, lest the area slides into a deeper humanitarian crisis.
Policy Brief
Reform from crisis: How Tunisia can use covid-19 as an opportunity
Thierry Brésillon and Hamza Meddeb - 24 June, 2020
The government must build on its response to the pandemic to create a compromise that shares the burden of reform between political actors and interest groups
Policy Brief
Reviving the revolutionaries: How Trump’s maximum pressure is shifting Iran’s domestic politics
Ellie Geranmayeh - 23 June, 2020
Europeans wish to persuade Iran to compromise on strategic issues – but, unless they understand the dynamics of domestic Iranian politics, they will not get far
Italy’s chance in Libya
Arturo Varvelli, Tarek Megerisi - 16 June, 2020
The tide of Libya’s war is turning against renegade general Khalifa Haftar. Italy should seize this opportunity to lead European countries to a harmonised Libya policy.
Note from Berlin
What Assad’s ‘victory’ could mean for Syrians in Germany
René Wildangel - 15 June, 2020
Germany is a safe haven for Syrians for now – but a government decision to lift the ban on sending refugees back to Assad’s Syria would have catastrophic consequences.
Policy Brief
Bad company: How dark money threatens Sudan’s transition
Jean-Baptiste Gallopin - 9 June, 2020
The transition will only succeed if the government stabilises the economy and civilians work hard to tilt the balance of power away from the military.
Multiplying crises: The coronavirus in Sudan
Jean-Baptiste Gallopin - 8 June, 2020
Sudan’s transitional authorities are struggling to deal with a health system that is collapsing under the weight of covid-19. But the most dramatic social and economic impact of the disease might come from the effects that restrictions on movement will have on prices and…
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A return to Africa: Why North African states are looking south
by Anthony Dworkin - 03rd July, 2020
North African countries, each for their own reasons, are increasingly turning their attention towards sub-Saharan Africa.
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Reform from crisis: How Tunisia can use covid-19 as an opportunity
by Thierry Brésillon and Hamza Meddeb - 24th June, 2020
The government must build on its response to the pandemic to create a compromise that shares the burden of reform between political actors and interest groups
PDF
Reviving the revolutionaries: How Trump’s maximum pressure is shifting Iran’s domestic politics
by Ellie Geranmayeh - 23rd June, 2020
Europeans wish to persuade Iran to compromise on strategic issues – but, unless they understand the dynamics of domestic Iranian politics, they will not get far
PDF
Bad company: How dark money threatens Sudan’s transition
by Jean-Baptiste Gallopin - 09th June, 2020
The transition will only succeed if the government stabilises the economy and civilians work hard to tilt the balance of power away from the military.
PDF
A new Gaza: Turkey’s border policy in northern Syria
by Asli Aydıntaşbaş - 28th May, 2020
EU member states can find ways to cooperate with Turkey to support stabilisation in parts of the safe zone, without violating their interests and core principle
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Society max: How Europe can help Syrians survive Assad and coronavirus
by Julien Barnes-Dacey - 21st April, 2020
European governments should pivot to a strategy focused on protecting those societal forces that are still standing and that can help salvage a better future
PDF
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Economic meltdown in the Middle East: How Europe can soften the impact (Commentary)
Julien Barnes-Dacey - 02 July 2020
Syria, Lebanon, and Iraq are all teetering on the brink of economic collapse. Europe cannot afford to be a helpless bystander.
Why the war in Libya is a test for Italy – and for a geopolitical European Commission (Commentary)
Marta Dassù - 30 June 2020
If Italy was the front facing east during the cold war, then today it is vulnerable to the south: the country has been drawn into a geopolitical competition that looms over the Strait of Sicily.
Politicised aid: Why Europe should sustain cross-border humanitarian assistance to northern Syria (Commentary)
Kelly Petillo & René Wildangel - 29 June 2020
European countries should work to renew the UN Security Council resolution on cross-border humanitarian access to northern Syria, lest the area slides into a deeper humanitarian crisis.
Italy’s chance in Libya (Commentary)
Arturo Varvelli & Tarek Megerisi - 16 June 2020
The tide of Libya’s war is turning against renegade general Khalifa Haftar. Italy should seize this opportunity to lead European countries to a harmonised Libya policy.
What Assad’s ‘victory’ could mean for Syrians in Germany (Commentary)
René Wildangel - 15 June 2020
Germany is a safe haven for Syrians for now – but a government decision to lift the ban on sending refugees back to Assad’s Syria would have catastrophic consequences.
Multiplying crises: The coronavirus in Sudan (Commentary)
Jean-Baptiste Gallopin - 08 June 2020
Sudan’s transitional authorities are struggling to deal with a health system that is collapsing under the weight of covid-19. But the most dramatic social and economic impact of the disease might come from the effects that restrictions on movement will have on prices and food security.
It’s Turkey’s Libya now (Commentary)
Tarek Megerisi - 20 May 2020
European countries should try to revive the political approach to resolving the Libya conflict, particularly given that Turkey may want to do so from its current position of strength.
Israel’s West Bank annexation: Preparing EU policy for the day after (Commentary)
Hugh Lovatt - 14 May 2020
West Bank annexation will bring an end to the EU’s cherished two-state solution. International norms and the EU’s own laws will now need to underpin post-annexation relations with Israel.
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Upcoming events
There are no upcoming events
Past events
The War in Yemen and the Southern Question: what can Europe do?
Berlin - 11 Mar 20
Lunch discussion with ECFR and external experts on the Yemen conflict and what Europe can do.
Charting a European path in the Gulf
Berlin - 05 Mar 20
Morning discussion with ECFR and external experts on European involvement in the Gulf and its engagement with other regional actors.
After Berlin: What options for peace in Libya?
London - 11 Feb 20
A breakfast discussion on the peace options in Libya following the Berlin conference.
War and pieces: Political divides in southern Yemen
London - 06 Feb 20
A lunch discussion on the recent challenges emerging from the Yemeni conflict and the EU's role
Après la Conférence de Berlin, des espoirs de paix en Libye ?
Paris - 22 Jan 20
Nous avons le plaisir de vous inviter à un Black Coffee Morning en présence de Tarek Megerisi, Mary Fitzgerald, Olivier Vallée et Leela Jacinto.
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Podcast
Russia’s Syria, Turkey’s Libya?
Tarek Megerisi, Asli Aydıntaşbaş, Mark Leonard, Nicu Popescu - 5 June, 2020
The attempt of a peace process in Libya is facing several substantial hindrances, where a variety of actors keep on inducing significant upheavals in its territory. Recently Turkey was observed to use Libya more and more as a playing field for its advancements - with some…
Podcast
ECFR Conversation with Ibrahim Kalin
Julien Barnes-Dacey - 20 April, 2020
ECFR Conversation with Ibrahim Kalin, Spokesman and Senior Advisor to the President of Turkey, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Chaired by Julien Barnes-Dacey, Director of ECFR’s MENA programme, this conversation assessed the Turkish fight against coronavirus, the…
Podcast
A Gulf apart: How Europe can gain influence with the Gulf Cooperation Council
Arturo Varvelli, Cinzia Bianco - 14 April, 2020
The ECFR Rome office organized a virtual gathering, moderated by the Head of ECFR Rome Arturo Varvelli, to present the ECFR publication "A Gulf apart: How Europe can gain influence with the Gulf Cooperation Council" with author and ECFR visiting fellow Cinzia Bianco. The…
Podcast
Geopolitics in the coronavirus era – who will be crowned winner?
Janka Oertel, Julien Barnes-Dacey, Susi Dennison, Mark Leonard, Nicu Popescu - 27 March, 2020
Last week’s episode saw our experts dissecting the coronavirus’ implications for Europe. In today's episode, we’re breaking down how the crisis is unfolding in the rest of the world. From the Middle East to Russia and Asia, and all over across the Atlantic…
Podcast
Many elephants in the room: the EU and the Turkey, Syria, coronavirus and refugee crises
Asli Aydıntaşbaş, Julien Barnes-Dacey, Mark Leonard - 13 March, 2020
The European Union faces a multi-crisis situation at the moment. As the conflict in Idlib and the circumstances at the Greek-Turkish border has erupted, Europe seems to have troubles to respond to latest developments in the Syrian war and threats from Turkey. Host Mark Leonard…
Podcast
Trump’s “Deal of the Century” debunked: is there something in it for Palestine at
René Wildangel, Mark Leonard, Hugh Lovatt - 14 February, 2020
When US-President Donal Trump revealed his much-awaited plan for peace for Israel and Palestine it was set to solve one of the world's longest-running conflict. But this “deal of the century” was not met with the same enthusiasm in Palestine as it was seen on…
Podcast
War and pieces: Political divides in southern Yemen
Ellie Geranmayeh - 10 February, 2020
Lunch discussion to mark the launch of ECFR's newest paper "War and pieces: Political divides in southern Yemen". International attention to the Yemeni conflict has shifted in recent months from the Saudi-led war against the Houthis in the north and west of…
Podcast
The Berlin Libya Conference: a moment to shine for European foreign policy?
Arturo Varvelli, Tarek Megerisi, Asli Aydıntaşbaş, Anthony Dworkin - 24 January, 2020
Anthony Dworkin stands in for our usual host, Mark Leonard, to de-brief the Berlin Conference on Libya. Together with the ECFR’s experts Asli Aydıntaşbaş, Tarek Megerisi and Arturo Varvelli, he discusses Europe’s attempt to get back in the game in…
Podcast
Iran-US: Preventing a Collision Course
Ellie Geranmayeh - 21 January, 2020
ECFR, in partnership with the Friedrich-Ebert-Foundation (FES), invited to a discussion on “Iran-US: Preventing a Collision Course” on 21 January. Following a series of attacks in Iraq that culminated in the assassination of Qassem Soleimani and missile attacks…
Podcast
De “facto declaration of war”? - Soleimani’s killing as turning point in the Middle East
Julien Barnes-Dacey, Ellie Geranmayeh, Mark Leonard, Jeremy Shapiro - 6 January, 2020
With the US-killing of the Iranian military leader, Qassem Soleimani, the Middle East has been yet again sent in the heart to geopolitical uncertainty and frenzy. What does the killing mean for the future of the region, the Iran Nuclear Deal and the US role within it? Was there…
Podcast
Iran: Calculating the cost of US sanctions
Ellie Geranmayeh - 5 December, 2019
Over a year into the Trump administration's "maximum pressure" campaign against Iran, the re-imposition of sanctions have not only placed in jeopardy the Iran nuclear deal, but also hit the Iranian economy. The panel consisting of Esfandyar Batmanghelidj(Founder, Bourse…
Podcast
Yemen - Seizing the moment of oppurtunity?
Ellie Geranmayeh - 14 November, 2019
Recording of the Lunch Discussion analysing Yemen's role in the current Gulf crisis and how recent regional developments will have an impact on the UN-coordinated peace process. Almost a year after the widely praised UN-sponsored Stockholm Agreement, there have been…
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