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View from the Council
The Armenian model for Belarus
Carl Bildt - 19 August, 2020
While many Western observers have seized on Ukraine's 2004-5 and 2014 revolutions to understand the mass protests in Belarus, a much better analogy is Armenia's democratic transition in 2018.
Russia’s military manoeuvres at the Belarus border – a message to the West
Gustav Gressel - 18 August, 2020
The Kremlin knows that intervening militarily would lose it the goodwill of the Belarusian people. But it does not rule out a managed transition to a candidate of its choice.
Why the EU now needs a deliberate Belarus policy
Andrew Wilson - 11 August, 2020
A new mass civic movement has emerged in Belarus – the EU should put supporting it at the heart of its new policy towards the country.
The other Putin on Europe’s doorstep
Mark Leonard - 4 August, 2020
By weaponising immigration and launching new foreign adventures, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is increasingly acting like his Russian counterpart. And though such behaviour speaks to a deteriorating political situation at home, Europeans can no longer assume that…
The inevitable partner: Why Europe needs to re-engage with Africa
Vladimir Shopov - 30 July, 2020
EU-Africa relations are characterised by a series of failed beginnings. They continue to suffer from a lack of deep and far-reaching political will, despite being the subject of a series of diplomatic initiatives in the past two decades.
Why analysts in Moscow dismiss the UK Parliament’s Russia report
Kadri Liik - 30 July, 2020
The July 2020 report by the UK Parliament’s Intelligence and Security Committee is part of a wider and somewhat depressing phenomenon: Western countries’ analyses of what Russia is doing are often mediocre in the eyes of those in Moscow.
View from the Council
A Schuman plan for the eastern Mediterranean
Anna Diamantopoulou - 23 July, 2020
The EU should look to its own history as it aims to secure its own interests and resolve tensions in the eastern Mediterranean.
Turkey and Europe: Growing tensions and a hot summer in the Mediterranean
Asli Aydıntaşbaş - 23 July, 2020
Europe needs a grand bargain with Turkey that can create a short- and longer-term conflict-resolution framework covering energy, maritime boundaries, the Cyprus conflict, and Libya.
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Policy Brief
A new Gaza: Turkey’s border policy in northern Syria
Asli Aydıntaşbaş - 28 May, 2020
EU member states can find ways to cooperate with Turkey to support stabilisation in parts of the safe zone, without violating their interests and core principle
Policy Brief
A problem shared: Russia and the transformation of Europe’s eastern neighbourhood
Dumitru Minzarari and Vadim Pistrinciuc - 23 April, 2020
Failure to strengthen Eastern Partnership states could strengthen Russia and allow authoritarianism to diffuse westward into the EU
Policy Brief
The power of perspective: Why EU membership still matters in the Western Balkans
Beáta Huszka - 7 January, 2020
The EU should demonstrate its commitment to the Western Balkans by encouraging countries there to resolve their outstanding disputes
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Policy Brief
Zelensky unchained: What Ukraine’s new political order means for its future
Joanna Hosa, Andrew Wilson - 25 September, 2019
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A balance of values and interests: Germany, realpolitik, and Russia policy (Commentary)
Roderich Kiesewetter - 15 October 2020
Recent events show that Moscow does not take Berlin seriously when it acts alone. Germany must coordinate its actions at the European level and find common responses to Russia’s behaviour.
How the EU became marginalised in Nagorno-Karabakh (Commentary)
Nicu Popescu - 13 October 2020
EU diplomacy could facilitate a conflict settlement process by pressuring Armenia and Azerbaijan to start implementing the Madrid Principles.
A captive ally: Why Russia isn't rushing to Armenia's aid (Commentary)
Nicu Popescu - 08 October 2020
Russia appears willing to allow Azerbaijan to recapture some areas around Nagorno-Karabakh, betting on Armenian dependency and Azerbaijani gratitude.
A hill here, a village there: Nagorno-Karabakh and the salami-slicing wars (Commentary)
Nicu Popescu - 02 October 2020
Azerbaijan and Armenia are shifting from two decades of ‘frozen conflict settlement’ to an era of ‘salami-slicing wars’ – small conflicts designed to extract diplomatic concessions or regain territory from the adversary slice by slice.
Best to sit and talk: How to solve the conflict in the eastern Mediterranean (Commentary)
Asli Aydıntaşbaş - 24 September 2020
A conflict could be brewing in the eastern Mediterranean. Here’s how to stop it.
A spider’s web of poisoning cases (Commentary)
Iliyana Kondareva - 23 September 2020
Regardless of whether it ordered the poisoning of Alexei Navalny, the Kremlin has created a system in which the powerful believe they can kill with impunity.
Serbia’s 5G deal with Washington: The art of muddling through (Commentary)
Majda Ruge, Stefan Vladisavljev - 22 September 2020
There is no obvious reason why Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic would turn his back on a relationship with China from which he draws a great deal of political capital.
Meeting Svetlana Tikhanovskaya: How Europeans should support the Belarusian opposition (Commentary)
Lia Quartapelle - 16 September 2020
The EU should nurture Belarusian protesters’ experiences with political participation and their demands for democracy.
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