European Power: Publications

LA(phot) Mez Merrill/MOD

Flash Scorecard

Eyes tight shut: European attitudes towards nuclear deterrence

by Manuel Lafont Rapnouil & Tara Varma & Nick Witney - 19th December, 2018

Europeans remain unwilling to renew their thinking on nuclear deterrence, despite growing strategic instability. Their stated goal of “strategic autonomy” will remain an empty phrase until they engage seriously on this matter.

This intellectual under-investment looks set to continue despite: a revived debate “German bomb” debate; a new Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons; and the collapse of the INF treaty.

Attitudes to nuclear deterrence differ radically from country to country – something which any new engagement on the nuclear dimension will have to contend with. And, while many governments and their voting publics are aligned in attitudes, in some crucial players like Germany the government and public are at loggerheads.

No European initiative to declare strategic nuclear autonomy is yet practicable but a strategy to hedge for future uncertainties is available.

As a first step, the UK and France should convert the idea of a European deterrent from mere notion into credible offer, by thickening their bilateral nuclear cooperation and sending growing signals that indicate their readiness to protect others.

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Web Special

EU Coalition Explorer

by Rethink: Europe - 30th October, 2018

The EU Coalition Explorer shows the potential for future coalition building between the EU member states. 

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Flash Scorecard

The nightmare of the dark: The security fears that keep Europeans awake at night

by Pawel Zerka & Susi Dennison & Ulrike Esther Franke - 23rd July, 2018

Great power competition is increasingly shaping Europeans’ security environment, while other security threats are also on the rise, from terrorism and cyber attacks to climate change.

Policy Brief

No middle ground: Moving on from the crypto wars

by Stefan Soesanto - 05th July, 2018

The ‘second crypto war’ is in full swing; European governments need to stop trying to defeat encryption and get more sophisticated themselves instead.

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China Analysis

The Trump opportunity: Chinese perceptions of the US administration

by Camille Boullenois, Jiakun Jack Zhang, Melanie Hart, Blaine Johnson, Earl Wang - 20th June, 2018

Four views from our authors on Chinese and Taiwanese views of the roots of Trump's strategy and trade policy, and Chinese blind spots

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Policy Brief

Can Europe save the world order?

by Anthony Dworkin & Mark Leonard - 24th May, 2018

The rules-based international order is under threat. The EU should place its defence at the centre of its global strategy.

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Policy Brief

Winning the normative war with Russia: An EU-Russia Power Audit

by Kadri Liik - 21st May, 2018

The path to winning the normative war will not go so much through countering Russia as through improving Europe’s resilience and reinvigorating its model

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