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Can Slovakia and the Czech Republic overcome Europe’s east-west divide? (Commentary)
Almut Möller & Milan Nič - 11 February 2019
Prague and Bratislava can jointly develop a more visible profile within the Visegrad 4 group and counter the overall dominance of Hungary and Poland
Flash Scorecard
The 2019 European election: How anti-Europeans plan to wreck Europe and what can be done to stop it
by Pawel Zerka & Susi Dennison - 11th February, 2019
#9 Deutsche Sicherheitspolitische Debatte und EU-Bürger in der Bundeswehr
„Sicherheitshalber“ ist der Podcast zur sicherheitspolitischen Lage in Deutschland, Europa und der Welt. In Folge 9 reden Ulrike Franke, Frank Sauer, Carlo Masala und ich zunächst über die sicherheitspolitische Debatte in Deutschland: Immer wieder wird sie angemahnt, aber gibt es sie überhaupt? Und wer sind eigentlich die Akteure in dieser Debatte? Im zweiten Teil schauen wir auf die immer wieder aufflackernde Diskussion über die Frage: (EU)Ausländer in die Bundeswehr?
Die kompletten Shownotes können Sie bei Soundcloud nachlesen.
Trading with Iran via the special purpose vehicle: How it can work (Commentary)
Ellie Geranmayeh, Esfandyar Batmanghelidj - 07 February 2019
On 31 January, Germany, France and Britain announced the establishment of a special purpose vehicle aimed at facilitating legitimate trade with Iran
How to restore democracy in Venezuela (Commentary)
Felipe González and José Ignacio Torreblanca - 07 February 2019
A conversation between Felipe González and José Ignacio Torreblanca on the situation in Venezuela and the legitimacy of Juan Guaidó’s claim to the presidency
.jpg "Pic: Kremlin.ru - https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Datei:Vladimir_Putin_and_Donald_Trump_at_the_2017_G-20_Hamburg_Summit_(3).jpg - CC BY 4.0 - https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/")
Russia, Germany, and the INF: Will Berlin break its silence? (Commentary)
Gustav Gressel - 06 February 2019
Germany is not facing up to the INF challenge. If it does not take a lead, Russian nuclear superiority over Europe will soon be a done deal
The flawed bank redemption: Europe and the politics of money laundering (Commentary)
Chris Raggett - 06 February 2019
Europe urgently needs to get its house in order on money laundering – and win voters’ trust back in the process
The crisis in Venezuela: What does Europe’s move mean?
Anthony Dworkin steps in for Mark Leonard and speaks with Jose Ignacio Torreblanca, Federica Paddeu, and Sergey Sukhankin, about what risks the recognition of Juan Guaido as interim president of Venezuela by several European countries will bring. The podcast was recorded on 5 February 2019.
Bookshelf:
Russian mercenaries on the march: next stop Venezuela? by Sergey Sukhankin
Dismantling Democracy in Venezuela: The Chávez Authoritarian Experiment by Allan R. Brewer-Carías
The Mutiny - the name of the third world by Evgeny Messner
AI Superpowers: China, Silicon Valley and the New World Order by Kai-Fu Lee
How Europe’s populists can win by losing (Commentary)
Mark Leonard - 04 February 2019
The European Parliament elections this May have been described as a make-or-break moment for the future of the European project – and for good reason. With plans to form a populist united front, Eurosceptic parties need only capture one-third of parliamentary seats to bring EU governance to a crawl.
Cherry-picking Europe: Migration and economic management in Malta (Commentary)
Daniel Mainwaring - 04 February 2019
Economic freedom vs security cooperation- Malta's commitment to EU integrations remains fragmented by national interests.
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Policy Brief
Divided at the centre: Germany, Poland, and the troubles of the Trump era
by Buras, Piotr & Josef Janning - 19th December, 2018
Policy Brief
Under the gun: Rearmament for arms control in Europe
by Gustav Gressel - 28th November, 2018
Policy Brief
No middle ground: Moving on from the crypto wars
by Stefan Soesanto - 05th July, 2018
The ‘second crypto war’ is in full swing; European governments need to stop trying to defeat encryption and get more sophisticated themselves instead.
PDF
China Analysis
The Trump opportunity: Chinese perceptions of the US administration
by Camille Boullenois, Jiakun Jack Zhang, Melanie Hart, Blaine Johnson, Earl Wang - 20th June, 2018
Four views from our authors on Chinese and Taiwanese views of the roots of Trump's strategy and trade policy, and Chinese blind spots
PDF.jpg "Pic: By The White House from Washington, DC (21587440_1434135893340806_7127041855563357278_o) [Public domain], via Wikimedia Commons - https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:President_Donald_J._Trump_addresses_the_72nd_Session_of_the_United_Nations_General_Assem - CC0 1.0 - https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/")
Policy Brief
Can Europe save the world order?
by Anthony Dworkin & Mark Leonard - 24th May, 2018
The rules-based international order is under threat. The EU should place its defence at the centre of its global strategy.
PDF
Policy Brief
Winning the normative war with Russia: An EU-Russia Power Audit
by Kadri Liik - 21st May, 2018
The path to winning the normative war will not go so much through countering Russia as through improving Europe’s resilience and reinvigorating its model
PDF
Policy Brief
The Way Back: Brain Drain and Prosperity in the Western Balkans
by Alida Vracic - 09th May, 2018
The EU should do more to promote circular migration as part of their ongoing pursuit of European integration.
PDF
Policy Brief
Separation anxiety: European influence at the UN after Brexit
by Richard Gowan - 08th May, 2018
Brexit has the potential to upset European coordination on development and human rights across the UN system.
PDF
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Europe should do better on Venezuela (Commentary)
Pawel Zerka - 22 February 2019
The EU has taken constructive steps to address the crisis in Venezuela, but the lack of a common European position could threaten progress towards a peaceful transition of power.
Can Belarus become a success story of European security? (Commentary)
Yauheni Preiherman - 21 February 2019
Western observers continue to misread Belarus – and to overlook the strengthened diplomatic and security roles it could play in eastern Europe
Austria’s toughest EU presidency (Commentary)
Sofia Maria Satanakis - 18 February 2019
Although Austria has the potential to influence EU policymaking more, the country often stands in its own way.
Don't expect fireworks at Munich (Commentary)
Ulrike Esther Franke - 15 February 2019
Troubles back home, not international affairs, will dominate Europe’s top security meetup.
The underestimated economic threat from the White House (Commentary)
Sebastian Dullien - 14 February 2019
Given changing global growth dynamics, Donald Trump’s trade policies might just transform from a nuisance into a threat to the euro area’s recovery
Hungary for more: Viktor Orbán’s new European battles (Commentary)
Zsuzsanna Végh - 13 February 2019
ECFR’s EU28 Survey reveals that Hungary manages to outpoll even the United Kingdom as the “most disappointing” EU member state. But May’s European Parliament poll is likely to see it dig in rather than change course.
Will the yellow vests movement spread across Europe? (Commentary)
Tara Varma - 12 February 2019
The yellow vests could have more influence than expected on the debates leading up to the European Parliament election
America the Mercenary: Trump’s plan to bill NATO (Commentary)
Jeremy Shapiro - 12 February 2019
The Trump administration reduces NATO to a bill owed to the United States, at the cost of sacrificing political solidarity across the Atlantic.
Highlights of the Munich Security Conference 2019
Direct from the Hotel Bayerischer Hof, Mark Leonard, Ulrike Franke and Jonathan Hackenbroich share their post-conference insights. They discuss speeches by German chancellor Angela Merkel, US vice-president Mike Pence, and Britain’s defence secretary Gavin Williamson, and talk about their favourite side-events.
Bookshelf:
Munich Security Report 2019 "The Great Puzzle: Who Will Pick Up the Pieces?"
La ruée vers l'Europe : La jeune Afrique en route pour le Vieux Continent by Stephen Smith
The Long Way to a Small, Angry Planet by Becky Chambers
The Light that Failed: How the West Won the Cold War But Lost the Peace by Ivan Krastev & Stephen Holmes (forthcoming September 2019)
The podcast was recorded on 17 February 2017.
EU Elections: Could anti-Europe parties wreck the EU from within?
Mark Leonard speaks with Susi Dennison, director of ECFR’s European Power programme, and Pawel Zerka, programme coordinator for European Power, about the upcoming European Parliament elections, the possibility of a surge in Eurosceptic parties, and how to reach the silent pro-European majority.
New ECFR report: "The 2019 European Elections: How anti-Europeans plan to wreck Europe and what can be done to stop"
Bookshelf:
The Happiness Industry by William Davies
Nervous States by William Davies
Bourgeois Equality by Deirdre N. McCloskey
The Theory of Moral Sentiments by Adam Smith
The Age of Surveillance Capitalism by Shoshana Zuboff
The podcast was recorded on 11 February 2019.
#9 Deutsche Sicherheitspolitische Debatte und EU-Bürger in der Bundeswehr
„Sicherheitshalber“ ist der Podcast zur sicherheitspolitischen Lage in Deutschland, Europa und der Welt. In Folge 9 reden Ulrike Franke, Frank Sauer, Carlo Masala und ich zunächst über die sicherheitspolitische Debatte in Deutschland: Immer wieder wird sie angemahnt, aber gibt es sie überhaupt? Und wer sind eigentlich die Akteure in dieser Debatte? Im zweiten Teil schauen wir auf die immer wieder aufflackernde Diskussion über die Frage: (EU)Ausländer in die Bundeswehr?
Die kompletten Shownotes können Sie bei Soundcloud nachlesen.
The crisis in Venezuela: What does Europe’s move mean?
Anthony Dworkin steps in for Mark Leonard and speaks with Jose Ignacio Torreblanca, Federica Paddeu, and Sergey Sukhankin, about what risks the recognition of Juan Guaido as interim president of Venezuela by several European countries will bring. The podcast was recorded on 5 February 2019.
Bookshelf:
Russian mercenaries on the march: next stop Venezuela? by Sergey Sukhankin
Dismantling Democracy in Venezuela: The Chávez Authoritarian Experiment by Allan R. Brewer-Carías
The Mutiny - the name of the third world by Evgeny Messner
AI Superpowers: China, Silicon Valley and the New World Order by Kai-Fu Lee
US tariffs on Chinese exports: Can the two reach a deal?
Anthony Dworkin steps in for Mark Leonard and speaks with Janka Oertel and Sebastian Mallaby about US-China trade talks, their relationship and Europe’s role. The podcast was recorded on 30 January 2019.
Bookshelf:
Troublemakers: Silicon Valley's Coming of Age by Leslie Berlin
The Code: Silicon Valley and the remaking of America by Margeret O’Mara
Die Neuerfindung der Diktatur by Kai Strittmatter
Algiers, Third World Capital: Freedom Fighters, Revolutionaries, Black Panthers by Elaine Mokhtefi
Les élections européennes vues d'Allemagne
Podcast de notre BCM du 29 janvier « Les élections européennes vues d'Allemagne » en présence d'Almut Möller, directrice du bureau de l'ECFR à Berlin, Shahin Vallée, économiste au European Institute de la LSE et modéré par Manuel Lafont Rapnouil, directeur du bureau de l'ECFR à Paris.
Europe’s year of reckoning?
Podcast de notre discussion du 18 janvier « Europe’s year of reckoning? » en présence de František Ružička, secrétaire d'Etat de la Slovaquie, Susi Dennison, directrice du programme Europe Puissance et modérée par David Cadier, chercheur au CERI Sciences Po.
The Aachen Treaty: A closer Franco-German relationship?
Anthony Dworkin steps in for Mark Leonard and speaks with Almut Möller, Manuel Lafont Rapnouil and Tom Nuttall about how significant the new treaty of friendship between France and Germany is. The podcast was recorded on the 17 January 2019.
Bookshelf:
Iron Kingdom by Christopher Clark
Wir sind ja nicht zum Spaß hier: Reportagen, Satiren und andere Gebrauchstexte by Deniz Yügel
La Faiblesse du vrai: Ce que la post-vérité fait à notre monde commun by Myriam Revault d'Allonnes
Sabbath's Theater by Philip Roth
Warnings From Versailles: The Lessons of 1919, a Hundred Years On by Margaret MacMillan
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War on the Rocks
19th February, 2019
Ulrike Franke on the need for a more developed debate on foreign and security policy in Germany.
Les Echos
19th February, 2019
Susi Dennison & Pawel Zerka's new report regarding 2019 European elections and anti-European parties is quoted by Les Echos.
taz
18th February, 2019
Die Tageszeitung cites Susi Dennison and Pawel Zerka's report on the EU elections in May.
Le Monde
18th February, 2019
Susi Dennison & Pawel Zerka's new report regarding 2019 European elections and anti-European parties is quoted by Le Monde.
The New Federalist
17th February, 2019
Susi Dennison & Pawel Zerka's new report regarding 2019 European elections and anti-European parties is quoted by The New Federalist.
Atlantico
17th February, 2019
Susi Dennison & Pawel Zerka's new report regarding 2019 European elections and anti-European parties is quoted by Atlantico.
Arte
15th February, 2019
Tara Varma is interviewed by Arte regarding US and Russia's withdrawal from the INF Treaty and the consequences for Europe.
Gazeta Wyborcza
14th February, 2019
Piotr Buras and Pawel Zerka discuss mobilising the pro-European vote ahead of the EP elections in May.
The New York Times
14th February, 2019
The New York Times links the video of the interview that ECFR conducted with Felipe González on Venezuela.
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Upcoming events
Who can help us build the world? EU and the crisis of multilateralism
Warsaw - 26 Feb 19
Will "the jungle grow back" and power politics replace the liberal order?
One step closer - Georgia, EU-integration, and the settlement of the frozen conflicts?
Berlin - 28 Feb 19
Black Coffee Morning in cooperation with Georgia's Reforms Associates (GRASS).
Nationalism is a delusion: Our futures depend on ever closer Union!
Berlin - 13 Mar 19
Panel Discussion in cooperation with Intelligence Squared Germany
Past events
Rueda de prensa: Russia and the European Security Order. Trends to watch
Madrid - 06 Feb 19
Rueda de prensa, en colaboración con The Institute for Statecraft y Hybrid CoE, dedicada a la estrategia seguida por Rusia para influir en la seguridad europea.
Les élections européennes vues d’Allemagne
Paris - 29 Jan 19
Nous avons le plaisir de vous inviter à un Black Coffee Morning, en présence de Almut Moller, Shahin Vallée et Manuel Lafont Rapnouil sur le thème suivant : « Les élections européennes vues d'Allemagne ».
Women’s Voices on the World Stage
Paris - 24 Jan 19
Nous avons le plaisir de vous inviter au lancement du réseau Women in Diplomacy , en présence de Nathalie Loiseau, Pauline Carmona, Christine Ockrent, Kara Owen, et Ambassadrice Veronika Wand-Danielsson, sur le thème suivant : « Women's Voices on the World Stage ».
In search of security: Central Europe
Warsaw - 22 Jan 19
What should Poland's and Germany's contribution to the region's security look like?
New rules for the game? The free trade multilateral order and the return of geopolitics
Berlin - 06 Dec 18
The panel will adress the impact of the US-China trade war for Europe and Japan.
