European Council on Foreign Relations

ECFR this week: 2nd November

Ahead of the selection of China’s new leadership on November 8th, Thomas König of ECFR’s China Programme explains what the process involves, who the new men will be, and why it matters. Here is our guide to China’s leadership changes. On our blog Jonas Parello-Plesner takes a closer look at the ultra-rich political elite in China.

China’s new leaders: China 3.0

Next week we will be publishing a major report on the debates that shape modern China. We call it China 3.0. Here is a short video with Mark Leonard on why affluence, stability and power have created new problems for China.

EU and Ukraine after the elections: “It’s time to show Ukraine some tough love”

In a new ECFR policy memo Andrew Wilson argues that the EU should rethink its approach towards Ukraine as the country has become more authoritarian and corrupt. In “The EU and Ukraine after the 2012 elections” Andrew

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ECFR this week: 26th October

This week we published the 10th in our series of national papers looking at the internal dynamics of the euro crisis within individual EU member states. In Denmark caught between ‘ins’ and ‘outs’ Lykke Friis and Jonas Parello-Plesner remind us that Denmark is in fact one of the founding fathers of a two-speed Europe. But difficult choices lie ahead as the euro crisis is challenging the status quo of Denmark’s EU membership:

“Will Denmark use the new dynamic in the Eurozone to abandon the current ‘half-in; half-out’ status, and begin making a popular case for an eventual referendum on joining the euro? Or will it, through events in the UK and in the Eurozone, be pushed to the outer layer of EU-membership and accept a dilution of its influence?”

Click here for essays examining the situation in Italy, the Netherlands, Germany, Greece, Poland, the Czech Republic and Bulgaria,

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ECFR this week: 19th October

At this week’s European Council EU leaders agreed to establish a single eurozone banking supervisor which is considered to be a key element for the development of a banking union. In the run-up to the EU summit ECFR staff members from Paris, Berlin, Rome, Warsaw, Madrid and London published another “view from the capitals” previewing the summit from across Europe.

But there is a real danger that the proposed banking union and a deeper integration of the eurozone could lead to an exit of the UK. ‘Europe at the crossroads’ is a new ECFR project that aims at analysing the impact of the euro crisis on the UK. Click here for a collection of recent publications and podcasts that examine the EU debate in the UK.

This week’s EU summit was also a reminder that a compromise between Germany and France is still central for the European project. However, when it comes to the big questions

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ECFR this week: 12th October

Despite today’s announcement that the EU has won the Nobel Peace Prize, this has been a week when it has been impossible to escape the scale of the challenge facing the European project as it tries to deal with the euro crisis.

At the beginning of the week we published ‘Why the euro crisis threatens the single market’ by Sebastian Dullien – a bleak warning that the achievements of the single market are in real danger thanks to the euro crisis. Sebastian sets out three scenarios for how things might progress from now, and details how each scenarios spells trouble for the single market. He also published this opinion piece, summarising his argument.  

Following the visit of Angela Merkel to Athens ECFR also published the latest of our series of ‘National Papers’, this time looking at the debate within Greece about its place in Europe. In ‘Desperately hanging on: the view from

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ECFR this week: 5th October

As a British EU referendum looks increasingly likely, YouGov has conducted fresh research for ECFR into the roots of British attitudes to Europe to find out how such a referendum might pan out. Peter Kellner of YouGov argues that the attitudes of three distinctive groups will determine the outcome of a British referendum on Europe: Worried Nationalists, Pragmatic Nationalists and Progressive Internationalists. And it looks like the ‘pragmatic’ camp could play a rather important role in this context. Click here to find out who might win a British referendum on Europe.

Nicholas Walton also summarised the key points of the YouGov data on our 'London view' blog.

Middle East and North Africa

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Latest Publications

A return to Africa: Why North African states are looking south

North African countries, each for their own reasons, are increasingly turning their attention towards sub-Saharan Africa.

Together in trauma: Europeans and the world after covid-19

A new survey shows that, after the onset of the covid-19 crisis, there has been a rise in public support for unified EU action to tackle global threats

Reform from crisis: How Tunisia can use covid-19 as an opportunity

The government must build on its response to the pandemic to create a compromise that shares the burden of reform between political actors and interest groups


Europe’s pandemic politics: How the virus has changed the public’s worldview

New research reveals that the crisis has revolutionised citizens’ perceptions of global order – scrambling the distinctions between nationalism and globalism

Reviving the revolutionaries: How Trump’s maximum pressure is shifting Iran’s domestic politics

Europeans wish to persuade Iran to compromise on strategic issues – but, unless they understand the dynamics of domestic Iranian politics, they will not get far