Articles on Russia

The sanctions straitjacket on Russia’s defence sector (Commentary)

Gustav Gressel - 13 February 2020

Maintaining a self-sufficient defence-industrial complex has long been an uphill struggle for Russia – and recent sanctions have only steepened its climb.

Idlib chaos: The latest test for Turkish-Russian ties (Commentary)

Asli Aydıntaşbaş - 12 February 2020

Turkey and Syria are now at war – but the ultimate arbiter of what happens next is likely to be Vladimir Putin.

Russia’s Ukraine policy: Change to stay the same (Commentary)

Gustav Gressel - 03 February 2020

The Kremlin is losing long-time Ukraine policy chief, Vladislav Surkov. But his successor has more in common with “Putin’s Rasputin” than first meets the eye.

Unsettled union: The future of the Belarus-Russia relationship (Commentary)

Yauheni Preiherman - 21 January 2020

Minsk retains enough power to decline any Russian proposal it deems unacceptable – even if this results in a further rise in economic tension.

Will he stay or will he go? Putin’s role will change (Commentary)

Kadri Liik - 16 January 2020

A political transition has started in Russia. While preserving a powerful role for Vladimir Putin, 2024 might nonetheless bring about real-enough change. 

Murder in Berlin: Not just Germany’s problem (Commentary)

Gustav Gressel - 19 December 2019

The Tiergarten hitman travelling freely across the Schengen area should prompt reflection in European capitals, and greater demands of Berlin to act. But a pan-European response remains unforthcoming.

Putin’s Minsk maskirovka: Will the West ‘capitulate’? (Commentary)

Gustav Gressel - 09 December 2019

Zelensky and EU leaders want the Normandy summit to show they are giving diplomacy a chance. But the risk all lies on their side, not Putin’s

Open Skies: Trump’s next big blunder? (Commentary)

Gustav Gressel - 04 December 2019

Partisan argument in Washington is helping undermine the Open Skies Treaty. The US could lose one of the most useful instruments in its relations with Russia.

Managed chaos: Russia’s deal with Turkey on northern Syria (Commentary)

Gustav Gressel - 03 November 2019

Russia is now in charge of a multi-front war. It will need to manage relations between multiple local actors very carefully.

Leverage, for now: Turkey’s deal with Russia on northern Syria (Commentary)

Asli Aydıntaşbaş - 30 October 2019

Erdogan's government views the deal as a testament to its ability to act independently of Washington even in areas where there is a US military presence.