In spite of the Minsk ceasefire, the conflict in Eastern Ukraine continues to burn with new casualties reported almost every day. What options are open to Kyiv, Moscow and the EU now? We asked three of our in-house experts to put forward the next potential military, economic and diplomatic battles in and over Ukraine.
© Igor Golovnov / Alamy
A resumption of Russian military provocations is likely, to keep Ukraine destabilised and maintain pressure on its government.
The Minsk agreement was vague on some key points of disagreement between Kyiv and Moscow, and the fight over how to interpret its provisions is escalating.
Russia’s aim is to create a dysfunctional Ukraine, and it will continue using economic means as much as military attacks.