The panel will discuss how the removal of transitional controls for Romania and Bulgaria will affect next year's European elections and the broader debate about Britain's place in the EU.
Published on 29 July, 2008
The Irish rejection of the Lisbon Treaty has cast doubt over institutional reform within the European Union, but the author of a new policy paper published by ECFR argues that EU governments cannot afford to move at the speed of the slowest on defence, and should push for a "multi-speed Europe". Author Nick Witney, who is a Senior Policy fellow at ECFR and former Chief Executive of the European Defence Agency, issues a stark warning about the state of European defence, arguing that "inertia and resistance in the defence machinery" are thwarting the European Union's declared aim to make a real contribution to global security.
There is a chronic capabilities gap in Europe, as defence budgets are squandered on Cold-War style militaries. Europe keeps almost 2 million men and women in uniform (half a million more than the US), yet 70% of land forces are unable to operate outside national territory.
The total number of troops deployed today in ESDP operations, around 6,000, constitutes a paltry 0.3% of European military manpower. The failure to reform outdated militaries means that much of the annual 200 billion euro that EU governments spend on defence is "simply wasted", the report says.
Witney says the the haphazard nature of joint operations has been shocking. "Javier Solana has often been reduced to phoning Defence Ministers in person to secure a single transport plane or field surgeon. In Aceh, the operation was initially financed on the personal credit cards of mission personnel along with a loan from the entertainment allowance of the British ambassador in Jakarta."
Duplication within the defence industry (5 ground-to-air missile programmes, 3 combat aircraft programmes, 6 attack submarine programmes, and more than 20 armoured vehicle programmes) has led to a massive waste of resources and inflated prices - making companies vulnerable to takeovers from US rivals.
Nick Witney argues that Europeans will punch their weight - and be worthwhile partners for the US - only if they pool their resources and cooperate more closely. Reviewing the widely differing performances of the Member States (on defence spending, investment per soldier, participation record in operations), the report urges the formation of "pioneer groups" of the most willing and able.
The idea could be operationalised within the European Defence Agency through the creation of a number of overlapping pioneer groups, which each specialize in areas such as research and technology, armaments cooperation, defence industry cooperation, and the pooling of civilian and military capabilities.
The countries most active in various pioneer groups would constitute a European "core group" on defence - similarly to the "permanent structured cooperation" mechanism, envisaged by the Lisbon Treaty. Countries that do not meet some basic qualifying criteria (such as a minimum 1% of GDP spending on defence, and a 1% minimum level of personnel deployments in operations) should either commit to catch up, or leave the Agency altogether.
Witney's report identifies seven EU Member States in particular - Austria, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Greece, Ireland, Luxembourg and Malta - as needing either to raise their game, or to allow others to proceed without them.
The report also proposes a number of key steps to equip Europe's armed forces with the right tools - including a new political effort to re-start the consolidation of European defence industries. To cut down on the waste of duplicative programmes, it urges governments to pool a larger proportion of their defence budgets together.
On operations, amongst the report's recommendations is the creation of an EU headquarters in Brussels, which would integrate civilian assets for crisis management (such as police) with the military. The report also urges the creation of a civilian reserve corps, to ensure the right personnel are available.
Click here to download the full report
This report represents the views of its author, not the collective view of ECFR
Click here to read the press release
European defence: noises off by Nick Witney, EU Observer, 29 July 2008
Peace, or more Euro-squabbling? by Chris Patten, The Guardian, 25 July 2008
EU defence: the numbers don't add up/Podemos by José Ignacio Torreblanca, El País, 22 July 2008
Entrevista: El futuro de la UE Nick Witney, El País, 22 August 2008
Nella difesa europea trionfa l'improvvisazione, Il Riformista, 04 August 2008
AFM sees the EU's lowest equipment expenditure, below average military spending, The Malta Independent, 03 August 2008
The bear is back, The Guardian, 01 August 2008
Beschr änkt einsatzfähig, Kurier, 01 August 2008
Think-tank quer defesa europeia a "multiplas velocidades", Publico, 30 July 2008
Эксперты признали катастрофической боеготовность армии Евросоюза, Izvestia, 31 July 2008
Europe de la défense, "la décennie des occasions perdues", 24 Heures, 30 July 2008
Former German Minister calls for flexible EU defense policy, Deutsche Welle, 29 July 2008
NATO suspicious of Russian security pact idea, EU Observer, 29 July 2008
Streitkräfte im Tiefschlaf, Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, 29 July 2008
Europa, obligada a construir su defensa, El País, 29 July 2008
Pioneers needed to boost European defense, Defense News, 29 July 2008
Defensive gestures, The Economist, 24 July 2008
With Soviet enemy gone, NATO polishes its brand, International Herald Tribune, 15 July 2009
Olaf Boehnke comments on Polish-Russian relations.
Stefan Meister is quoted on Poland's and Germany's foreign policy approaches to Russia.
Nick Witney comments on the EU's security policy.