The European Council on Foreign Relations

Commentary: François Godement

China plays hard ball

20 Sep 11 - François Godement,

Europe's economic troubles have forced it to continue looking to China for financing. But Beijing, which is thought to hold up to 30 percent of its reserves in euros, is driving an increasingly hard bargain.

 

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The euro crisis as seen from China

01 Aug 11 - François Godement,

Working out what Beijing really thinks about the euro crisis is not easy. There are Chinese voices warning that buying the debt of troubled European states is "throwing good money after bad," but others know that China cannot pour its money solely into the dollar. Ultimately, Beijing’s attitude to the euro will be determined by China’s own internal economic logic.

 

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The EU in the doldrums: we need to hit the right nails

19 May 11 - François Godement,

In a response to José Ignacio Torreblanca's recent article, 'Five reasons why Europe is cracking', Francois Godement argues that Europeans do have a chance to tackle the current malaise, but only if they search hard and identify the real causes of the continent's woes.

 

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Western sovereign debt and China: the great guessing game

02 Mar 11 - François Godement,

China's huge currency reserves, and the indebted West's need for them, have created a new game. The object for Europe is to secure investment from Beijing, while also attempting to see through the veil of secrecy to find out exactly where the Chinese are spending their money. 

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Is Jasmine a Chinese flower?

01 Mar 11 - François Godement,

For Chinese leaders who lived through 1989, events in the Middle East are bringing back worrying memories. But the Arab revolutions could also present an opportunity for Beijing to increase its influence in the region.

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Beijing's Nile Fever

14 Feb 11 - François Godement,

The Chinese authorities are watching events in Egypt with concern: faced with an urban protest movement in an economically-growing nation, the Mubarak regime used tactics from Beijing's book, to no avail. But China also has advantages in the race to woo the emerging Arab democracies.

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Taking stock for the Lunar New Year: eight issues for the year ahead

Eight trends to watch out for in the Year of  the Rabbit: ECFR's China experts cut through the buzz of news and comment to highlight key trends and debates that could define China’s future relationship with Europe and the world.

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It isn?t only about North Korea

29 Nov 10 - François Godement,

North Korea's attack on Yeonpyong Island last week, and reaction to it from Seoul to Washington, highlighted the power shift that has taken place within Asia. Arguments that the shelling represented a "last gasp" by Kim Jong-il's regime are wishful thinking, and events on the Korean peninsula can no longer been seen in isolation from the complex balance of power in the region.

 

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Europe in the G20: Where's the beef?

10 Nov 10 - François Godement,

Europe is playing for big stakes at the G20 in Seoul. The summit is not just about opening up to the major emerging economies, but about how the West - including Europe - deal with the challenges of staving off the economic crisis and reconfiguring international institutions.

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Making sense of Europe's puzzling China policy

12 Oct 10 - François Godement,

A trade deal with South Korea proves that Europe can get things done when it wants. So why is the EU's policy with China such a puzzle? Perhaps it should learn from Germany, which is showing how to talk tough to Beijing while still achieving its aims.

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Europe meets China: time for the mouse to roar

05 Oct 10 - François Godement,

On Wednesday Brussels hosts an EU-China Summit. Will Europe be able to take advantage of the opportunity? Or will it lack a real sense of urgency, like the Chinese Qing court in the middle of the 19th century, and see the rest of the world move on without it?

 

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Europe and the China Challenge

07 Sep 10 - François Godement,

Could the dream of a “G3”  between the EU, China and the US ever become a reality? Or will the EU remain in the sidelines? Francois Godement argues in a piece for Le Monde that to avoid irrelevance, the EU needs to decide what it wants from China. (article in French)

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China's rise is a huge challenge to Europe: we must respond with a global China policy

17 Jun 10 - François Godement,
The economic crisis has strengthened Chinese power relative to the rest of the world. Now, if Europe is to make its limited influence count on issues ranging from Iranian proliferation to climate change and the Dalai Lama, it needs to develop a global China policy.
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Will Europe rise to the Eyjafjallajokull challenge?

The eruption of the Eyjafjallajokull volcano has created transport chaos, but the EU can lead the way in finding a trans-national solution to a cross-border crisis.
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Copenhagen, and why Beijing should not over-play its hand

25 Mar 10 - François Godement,
The Copenhagen Climate Conference showed the world that China was willing to use its power aggresively. But although it walked away without having given an inch, Beijing should worry about over-playing a strong hand
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