The European Council on Foreign Relations

Turkey, Libya and unintended consequences

A couple of days ago I recorded an audio podcast with Dimitar Bechev (here's the podcast; here's the blog post) looking at Ankara's delicate positioning over international intervention in Libya.

I've just been reading a piece in Today's Zaman by Gülnur Aybet (a friend of ECFR's) that contributes significantly to the debate - the piece (in English) is here and well worth reading. Dr Aybet argues that the Libyan intervention will probably be remembered as ambivalent and reluctant, despite wide international backing, largely because of the recent historical reverberations from Iraq. This ambivalence and reluctance has affected many of the actors, from the Arab League to the US, but is especially keenly felt in Turkey.

Turkey is of course a curious case - a member of NATO, frustrated with (and humiliated by) the tortuous accession process into the EU, yet carving out its own niche as

Read more…

Latest Publications

The EU and Azerbaijan: Beyond Oil

How Europe can promote democracy in Azerbaijan

How France and Germany can make Europe work

Hollande and Merkel should launch an ambitious EU reform programme

China and Germany: a new special relationship?

Why the emerging special relationship matters for Europe

China Analysis: Taiwan after the election

How will Taiwan’s relationship with China evolve? 

Jordan: Reform before it’s too late

Europe should take a more assertive approach to political reform in Jordan

China at the crossroads: are the reformers winning the argument?

China is facing a choice between regress and reform

How the EU can support reform in Burma

Europe can help Burma reform, but its help must be gradual

Syria: Towards a Political Solution

An end to the bloodshed may necessitate talks with the regime

The end of the Putin consensus

Putin's return: why Europe should prepare for a weaker Putin

The long shadow of ordoliberalism: Germany's approach to the euro crisis

The thinking behind Germany's unpopular approach to the crisis