European Council on Foreign Relations

ECFR this week: 20th April 2012

We are keeping a close eye on France over the coming weekend, as that country votes in the first round of its presidential election. Ulrike Guerot has previewed the election from a German point of view in this blog post – ‘Should Merkel be scared of Hollande’ – asking whether German unease over a socialist victory is justified. In this article Thomas Klau argues that France deserves better than the campaign it has been given.

We’ll have more on the election as events unfold – and it sounds as though Thomas has already been kept very busy giving analysis to the French and European media.

Meanwhile, several other things have been keeping us busy:

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Latest Publications

China at the gates: A new power audit of EU-China relations

Europeans should adopt more realist positions vis-à-vis China, to defend their own interests and urgently restore balance in the relationship.

Pre-empting defeat: In search of North Korea’s nuclear doctrine

Pyongyang’s is prepared to carry out a pre-emptive nuclear strike against both military and civilian targets if it detects an imminent attack.

Partners for Life: Europe’s Unanswered ‘Eastern Question’

Dramatic change may not be on the cards, but the EU can and should shift to a ‘status quo plus’ approach that builds on existing activity.

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The coming clash: Why Iran will divide Europe from the United States

Europe must salvage the nuclear deal with Iran and step-up robust diplomacy with Teran on regional issues.

Grand Designs: Does China have a ‘Grand Strategy’?

The Chinese Communist Party Congress in October will indicate whether China has departed from its ‘peaceful rise’ in favour of an ambitious grand strategy.